March Buybacks Plummet 75% as Companies Hoard Cash Ahead of Tariffs

Corporate America has sharply reduced share repurchases, with buyback announcements in March 2024 falling to $39.1 billion—the lowest monthly level since the pandemic and the weakest March total in five years.

The decline follows a period earlier in 2024 when companies were executing buybacks at near-record rates. The recent slowdown appears driven by executive caution ahead of forthcoming tariff announcements from the Trump administration and the possibility of retaliatory measures from trade partners, which could push inflation and unemployment higher.

Analysts at Birinyi Associates say many firms are choosing to conserve cash rather than cut dividends while they wait for clearer guidance on trade policy. At the same time, the Federal Reserve has delayed cutting interest rates until inflation shows sustained improvement. Because buybacks have been an important support for equity prices, the pullback in repurchases could limit the market’s ability to recover from recent weakness.

Investors will be watching the upcoming earnings season closely—beginning with JPMorgan Chase on April 11—for signals about how companies intend to allocate cash going forward and whether buybacks will resume at previous levels.